Sunday, October 21, 2012
Race tightens for Obama, Romney ahead of final debate - Reuters/Ipsos poll
By Jeff Mason
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The race between President Barack Obama and rival Mitt Romney has tightened in the days before their final televised debate, with the Republican closing the gap on Obama's slight but steady lead in a Reuters/Ipsos online poll.
U.S. Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney (L) and U.S. President Barack Obama speak directly to each other during the second U.S. presidential debate in Hempstead, New York, October 16, 2012. REUTERS/Mike Segar |
Data from the daily tracking poll released on Saturday showed the Democratic incumbent with a small lead over the former Massachusetts governor, but the margin has narrowed from Friday and from results earlier in the week.
Forty-six percent of likely voters said they would vote for Obama in the November 6 election, while 45 percent said they would back Romney.
On Friday, Obama was ahead by three percentage points at 46 percent compared to 43 percent for Romney.
"Our numbers have shown ... Obama fairly steadily ahead by three points over the last couple of days and today's data does show a tightening in those numbers," Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said.
"It's very much neck and neck. I anticipate actually that we're going to see these numbers neck and neck all the way to Election Day."
Romney got a big boost from his strong performance in the first debate on October 3 with Obama, who was widely judged to have given a passive, lacklustre performance.
The president charged back with a sharper appearance in their second debate on October 16, comforting frustrated Democrats. While opinion polls showed most viewers thought Obama won that debate, Clark said he did not, in the end, get a noticeable bounce in the polls as a result.
"I wouldn't say that we saw a second-debate bounce for either candidate," she said, while predicting that the third and final debate on Monday would not affect the race dramatically unless one of the candidates made a significant gaffe.
The final debate focuses on foreign policy. Obama is spending the weekend at the presidential retreat at Camp David in Maryland to prepare, and Romney is doing the same in Florida, a battleground state where the debate will be held.
Though national polls give a sense of the mood of the electorate, the winner of the White House race will be determined by electoral votes from a handful of states such as Ohio and Florida that swing, historically, between voting for Republicans and Democrats in presidential elections.
A RealClearPolitics average of polls on Saturday showed Obama ahead in Ohio by 2.5 percentage points and Romney ahead in Florida by 2.1 percentage points.
The precision of Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.0 percentage points for likely voters.
(Editing By Alistair Bell and Eric Beech)
- Zahid asks for evidence of improprieties in electoral roll; says he’ll get to the bottom of it
- NFC chief tells court that he trusted the consultant because he claimed he was sent by Dr M
- Home Ministry seizes tabloids published by Opposition
- Large migrant population a security threat, says Sabah's top cop
- Pakatan to file 27 election petitions, says Tian Chua
- Transport Ministry reveals new FT registration plate to start with W1A
- Ahmad Zahid: Government will take action on foreigners who abuse student visas
- Adam Adli claims trial to sedition charge
- Tian Chua, Haris Ibrahim, Tamrin Ghafar detained (Update)
- Tabung Haji top-level official denies khalwat
- Justice Akhtar: Intention to finish off Sosilawati, others at wrong place wrong time
- Verdict ends three years of restlessness for family, says Sosilawati's daughter
- Adam Adli charged with uttering seditious words (Update)
- All four accused guilty in murder of Sosilawati Lawiya and three others (Update)
- New crime prevention department to be set up

- Petronas Dagangan Q1 earnings down 3.7% to RM237m
- Japan's tumble drags key regional, European markets lower (Update)
- KUB in JV with Singapore's Hiap Seng for Petronas project
- TDM to plant 5,000ha of new trees every year in Kalimantan
- KLCI falls to low of 1,765, rattled by Japan, HK
- Japan stocks crash on volatile bonds, weak China data; Nikkei ends down 7.3%
- MISC posts RM300m net profit in Q1, sees challenging year ahead (Update)
- KL Kepong slips to low of RM21.36 as quarterly profit drops
- Maybank's Q1 earnings up 11.8% to RM1.506b (Update)
- Lafarge Cement positive on markets, mulls expanding capacity
- Dayang Enterprise awards RM705m contract to Perdana Petroleum
- KLCI pauses, Japan, Hong Kong key indices slide (Update)
- ECM Libra plans to exit PN17 by year-end
- China HSBC flash PMI hits 7-mth low, fans growth fears
- RHB Research maintains Buy on KPJ Healthcare, FV RM7.30
- Ranger, militant killed in Thai south shootout
- Japan man, 80, scales Everest, sets record
- Philippines vows to defend territory against China
- S. Korean girl killed by suicide jumper
- Ecuador warns satellite could hit rocket remains
- Short-story writer Davis wins Booker International Prize
- Two babies among US tornado victims

- Anti-Islamist protests flare following London attack
- 'British solider' butchered in suspected Islamist attack (Updated)

- Rugby: Former All Black coach Henry on misconduct charge
- Ice queen Nicol into British Open quarters
- Australia to consider following ban on anchor putters
- Intxausti wins 16th stage, Nibali still keeps pink jersey
- Indonesia drawn to meet China again – in knockout stage
- Results worldwide
- Malacca sprinter Mohd Azam Masri out to create history by winning five events in MSSM meet
- Athletics runs in the veins of Vallabouy family
- Chinese long jumper Jinzhe claims another Olympic scalp
- Dane Jorgensen’s wish is to avoid Chinese ace Lin Dan in World Championships
- National badminton team’s lack of depth a glaring factor in home tourney
- Khim Wah-V Shem perform above expectations in Sudirman Cup debut
- Jindapon aims to qualify for 2016 Olympics
- Kenichi’s goal is to take Japan into Sudirman Cup semi-finals
- Dong-keun shows he’s a capable replacement
- Actress’ barking pet saves her from attacker in late night incident
- All four accused guilty in murder of Sosilawati Lawiya and three others (Update)
- What comes after WYY?
- Probe into why teen withdrew rape report
- Tian Chua, Haris Ibrahim, Tamrin Ghafar detained (Update)
- Adam Adli charged with uttering seditious words (Update)
- A-G: Prosecution to proceed with statutory rape charges against Riduan
- Family demands full inquiry into death of shooting suspect under remand
- Astro and Maxis to deliver new-age TV service in Klang Valley
- Syariah Court can annul child’s marriage, says SIS
- Actress’ barking pet saves her from attacker in late night incident
- Transport Ministry reveals new FT registration plate to start with W1A
- In China, food scares put Mao's self-sufficiency goal at risk
- Tian Chua, Haris Ibrahim, Tamrin Ghafar detained (Update)
- What comes after WYY?
- All four accused guilty in murder of Sosilawati Lawiya and three others (Update)
- Astro and Maxis to deliver new-age TV service in Klang Valley
- Verdict ends three years of restlessness for family, says Sosilawati's daughter
- Colleges challenge new conditions set by registrar
- Chromebook to help rural pupils leapfrog into parity with urban peers

