Subdued prospects: People at the central business district in the city-state. Electronics shipments are the biggest drag on July’s Nodx, tumbling 26.1% compared with July 2022. — Bloomberg
SINGAPORE: Singapore’s key exports fell for the 10th straight month in July, dragged by weakness in both electronics and non-electronics exports.
Non-oil domestic exports (Nodx) in July shrank 20.2% compared with the same month in 2022, and contracted 3.4% from June, data from Enterprise Singapore showed yesterday.
This was worse than the 14.4% contraction forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.
In June, Nodx contracted 15.6% compared with a year earlier, but grew 5.2% from the preceding month of May.
Louis Kuijs, chief Asia economist at S&P Global Ratings, told The Straits Times that exports from Singapore, like the rest of Asia, had been weak in recent months due to slowing demand in the United States, Europe and China as well as a delay in the recovery of the semiconductor industry cycle.
“Moreover, falling prices of tradable goods weigh on export revenues in US dollar terms.
“Looking ahead, these factors are unlikely to improve soon. Thus, prospects remain subdued,” Kuijs said.
Electronics shipments remained the biggest drag on July’s Nodx, tumbling 26.1% compared with July 2022.
Improvements in the export of telecommunications equipment could not offset the pronounced and prolonged soft patch in integrated circuits, disk media products and parts of integrated circuits.
Non-electronics exports shrank 18.5%, dragged by non-monetary gold, specialised machinery and petrochemicals.
They fell from the high base a year ago in July 2022.
Meanwhile, petrochemical exports dropped 23% year-on-year on the back of refinery plant maintenance shutdowns and weak demand.
Shipments to most of Singapore’s top 10 markets shrank in July, except for the United States.
Exports to China fell 20.1% year-on-year, from a 3.1% growth in June, due to weaker exports of integrated circuits, pharmaceuticals and petrochemicals.
Nodx to the European Union (EU) plunged 38.6% due to a fall in pharmaceuticals, primary chemicals and specialised machinery. Exports to Taiwan contracted 36%, dragged by specialised machinery, integrated circuits and parts of integrated circuits.
Total trade contracted 20.8% year-on-year, extending the 19.3% drop in June.
Oil domestic exports shrank 37.4% in July on lower exports to Malaysia, Indonesia and the EU.
Last week, Singapore downgraded its economic growth forecast to the 0.5% to 1.5% range, from the 0.5% to 2.5% expected earlier, amid a weak global economy and sluggish demand from major trading partners.
It also cut again its 2023 growth forecasts for exports as the downturn in global electronics demand continues to weigh on Singapore’s trading partners.
Both Nodx and total merchandise trade are expected to contract by 9% to 10% in 2023, due to a worse-than-expected performance to date, weighed down by the manufacturing down cycle and lower oil prices. — The Straits Times/ANN
