The 13% rally comes a day after a 7% rout wiped out more than US$193bil from the now US$2.9 trillion company. — Bloomberg
NEW YORK: Nvidia Corp’s wild ride this week is headed for the record books.
The world’s third-most-valuable company has added a record US$329bil in value – obliterating the single-day record that it has repeatedly set in the past few months.
The 13% rally comes a day after a 7% rout wiped out more than US$193bil from the now US$2.9 trillion company, continuing a run of volatility that makes even notoriously turbulent assets like bitcoin look stolid.
In July alone, the shares have endured routs that account for four of the eight biggest market cap wipe-outs, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
The volatility comes as investors grapple with a violent rotation out of high-flying technology shares into left-behind companies that would benefit from US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts.
The chipmaker rallied 150% in the first six months of the year before better-than-expected inflation readings stoked bets that the central bank would cut as soon as September.
Investors pocketed profits rung up on artificial intelligence (AI) bets and piled into banks and cyclical companies.
The rotation accelerated a week ago, when Alphabet Inc’s AI spending left investors worried profits would be a long time coming.
Those worries eased somewhat after Advanced Micro Devices Inc gave an upbeat forecast on the back of its AI efforts, prompting a fresh rush back into tech.
“The volatility in Nvidia shows how confused investors are right now,” said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co.
“They’re worried that the huge capital investment into AI will not create the kind of return on investment that people have been hoping for over the past year.”
The swings are exacerbated by company and sector-specific events, such as AMD’s results and Microsoft Corp’s pledge to spend billions more on its AI infrastructure.
Macro news, especially around the timing of Fed rate cuts and geopolitical stresses, also drive market-wide moves that engulf even the biggest companies.
“Microsoft’s announcement of increased capital spending, primarily driven by cloud and AI-related demands, fortifies Nvidia’s near-term sales outlook,” said Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Kunjan Sobhani.
Meta Platforms Inc, another big-tech firm spending billions in AI, was slated to report after markets closed on Wednesday.
The Facebook-owner’s investors are hoping it can do a better job than Microsoft and Alphabet in convincing them that these lofty investments will yield dividends sooner, rather than later.
While large stocks like Microsoft and Apple Inc have had big stock-market days following significant catalysts, Nvidia is increasingly producing sharp swings on wider sentiments.
Investors “worry that the capital investment story might fade”, Maley said.
“However, they also know that NVDA is still doing extremely well and fear of missing out still plays a role every time the stock bounces after a meaningful decline.” — Bloomberg
