Emerging Markets - Asian stocks gain on US rate outlook but currencies tepid as Indonesian inflation eases in June


2023-10-02t040900z_2_lynxnpej910

JAKARTA (Reuters): Most Asian stocks rose on Monday as traders assessed the US rates outlook after data showed inflation in the world's largest economy subsided in May, while currencies were trading subdued with the South Korean won declining the most.

Stocks in Malaysia gained 0.3%, Taiwan and Philippines each edged 0.1% higher, while Thailand equities dipped 0.1%.

The Malaysian ringgit, Singaporean dollar and Thai baht were largely flat. Indonesian equities advanced 0.8% in their fourth consecutive session of gains, while the rupiah held its ground at 16,360.

Annual inflation in Indonesia eased to 2.51% in June, its lowest level in nine months, according to data, but came within the central bank's target range of 1.5% to 3.5%.

Data on Friday showed that in the 12 months through May, US PCE price index increased 2.6% after advancing 2.7% in April, while consumer spending rose moderately, drawing the Federal Reserve closer to start cutting interest rates this year.

Markets are expecting at least two rate cuts from the U.S. Fed this year with a 63% probability of a cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Back in Asia, the South Korean won weakened 0.4% during longer trading hours on the dollar-won onshore market.

Data showed exports in South Korea grew for a ninth straight month in June, buoyed by chip demand, but at a slower pace than analysts expected. Manufacturing activity in China fell for a second month in June, while services activity slipped to a five-month low, an official survey showed on Sunday, keeping alive the propsect for further stimulus.

"These two consecutive months of contraction in the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) confirm our view that the sluggish economic momentum observed in May has largely continued in June, and the ongoing recovery remains somewhat fragile," analysts at Nomura said in a client note.

The yuan was largely unchanged.

Lacklustre performance in the Japanese yen, which skidded to its weakest level since late 1986 on Friday, has raised concerns about exports in some of its biggest trade rivals such as China and Korea and added to the pressure on Asian currencies.

Investors look forward to inflation prints from Thailand, the Philippines, Taiwan, and South Korea this week, which will help highlight the current pressures faced by Asian economies. - Reuters

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Indonesia , Inflation down , Asia , stocks , rising , forex , tepid

   

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