Period of uncertainties: A shop for rent sign in Ankara. Turkiye’s growth is projected to slow to 3.25% in 2024 from 4% this year. — AFP
ISTANBUL: Turkyish Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek pledges to build up currency reserves as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecast slower growth and a narrower current-account deficit for 2024 as Turkiye tightens its monetary policy.
“We will continue to accumulate international reserves as much as market conditions allow,” Simsek said in a message on X, formerly Twitter, late Friday after meeting investors in London.
Simsek sought to bolster confidence in Turkiye’s economy and attract foreign capital through a series of meetings with global investors this week. The IMF welcomed Turkiye’s policy shift in a coinciding statement late Friday.
As monetary policy tightens and the overall policy stance becomes less accommodative, Turkiye’s growth is projected to slow to 3.25% in 2024 from 4% in 2023, the fund said following a recent visit to Turkiye and ahead of its release of its World Economic Outlook tomorrow.
Turkiye’s current-account deficit is expected to narrow to about 3% of the gross domestic product in 2024, while inflation should slow to 46% by December 2024 from 69% at end of 2023, the fund said.
“The authorities should build on the current momentum,” the IMF said.
“This requires prioritising disinflation by bringing the ex-ante real policy rate into contractionary territory, continuing to liberalise financial regulations to improve the functioning of money and credit markets, and containing the fiscal deficit.”
Simsek, an ex-Merrill Lynch strategist, was appointed by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan after elections in May to helm Turkiye’s the US$900bil economy, alongside Central Bank Governor Hafize Gaye Erkan, a former Wall Street banker.
Simsek and Erkan have since steered Turkiye toward more orthodox economics, breaking from years of ultra-loose monetary policy that contributed to an inflation crisis and prompted an exodus of foreign investors from lira-denominated assets in Turkiye.
“The recent actions to raise the policy rate, increase taxes, and liberalise some financial sector measures have reduced risks and lifted investor confidence, compressing spreads and improving the reserve position of the Central Bank of Turkiye,” the IMF said. — Bloomberg
