A man riding a scooter past a completed central area of Qianhai new district in Shenzhen, Guangdong province, China. — Reuters
THE Central Economic Work Conference that was held recently made it clear that high-quality development is necessary for building a modern socialist country.
And to achieve this goal, it is necessary to further deepen the structural reform of the financial supply side, optimise financial supply, and better serve the realistic needs of economic and social development.
In terms of quantity, it is necessary to create a favourable monetary and financial environment to promote high-quality economic and social development. It is also necessary to maintain prudent monetary policy and pay greater attention to cross – and counter-cyclical adjustments.
In the long run, especially during the economic transformation period, China needs to adhere to prudent monetary policy, maintain sufficient liquidity, reduce the financing costs, and moderate monetary credit growth.
On the structural front, it is necessary to optimise the structure of funds supply, while the financial industry needs to focus on achieving the long-term goals proposed by the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and strengthening the provisions of high-quality financial services.
There is also a need to allocate more financial resources to promote technological innovations, advanced manufacturing and green development, and support small and micro enterprises, in order to achieve innovation-driven high-quality development and strengthen national food and energy security.
To achieve these goals, greater efforts should be made in five major areas – science and technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance and digital finance – to boost the real economy.
First, it is necessary to improve the capital market, increase the proportion of direct financing and optimise the financing structure.
Second, there is a need to improve the positioning of financial institutions, ensure that competition is conducted in an orderly manner, reduce potential market risks, and more effectively leverage the comparative advantages of various institutions to serve the interests of the real economy.
And third, measures have to be taken to strengthen supervision and prevent systemic financial risks.
Previously the Central Financial Work Conference emphasised the need to “comprehensively strengthen financial supervision and effectively prevent and resolve financial risks”, so as to address issues such as “persistent financial chaos and corruption problems, and weak supervision and governance in the financial field”.
Intensified supervision
As for intensified supervision, its goal is to “improve the effectiveness of financial supervision, legally include all financial activities in supervision, comprehensively strengthen institutional supervision, behavioural supervision, functional supervision, penetration supervision, and continuous supervision, eliminate supervision gaps and blind spots, and crack down on illegal financial activities”.
China’s risk disposal and prevention mainly focus on local government debt, real estate enterprises, and small and medium financial institutions.
Hence, the essential needs now are clearing the stock risks in a timely and orderly manner, and building a long-term mechanism to prevent and remove risks.
It is essential to “dispose of the risks of small and medium financial institutions in a timely manner” by means of “early identification, early warning, early exposure, and early disposal of risks”.
The risks small and medium institutions face include improper corporate governance, outdated internal control systems, weak risk control mechanisms and uneven qualifications of shareholders.
Preventing the spread of risks
According to the state council report on the financial work situation in October, it is important to “resolve the risks of high-risk small and medium financial institutions in an orderly manner, promote mergers and reorganisations, and dispose of the risks in a stable manner”, in order to prevent the spread of risks of individual institutions and create a localised financial crisis.
On the risks of hidden debts of local governments, a clear train of thought has been formed at the national level for preventing and eliminating the risks of local government debt by, among other things, optimising the debt maturity structure and reducing the interest burden.
Based on this, it is crucial to establish a mechanism for preventing and eliminating local government debt risks, and establishing a government debt management mechanism that is compatible with high-quality development.In terms of specific measures, the systems and measures of the central and local governments should be leveraged to “optimise the debt structure of the central and local governments”, so as to alleviate the pressure of local government debt.
In the long term, the fundamental solution to the problem of local government debt needs to start from institutional mechanisms, and adjustments and optimisation of the fiscal powers of the central and local governments.
Besides, it is necessary to ensure the real estate market smoothly transitions to a “healthy cycle of finance” in order to eliminate all market risks.
And to ensure the smooth transition, it is crucial to improve the regulatory system for real estate enterprises, strengthen macro-prudential management of real estate financing, implement differentiated policies to optimise local real estate regulation, take measures to boost housing demand, accelerate the construction of the “Three Major Projects” including affordable housing, and develop a new real estate growth model.In the future, the focus should be on optimising and adjusting policies to encourage financial institutions to provide more financing support for high-quality projects of private enterprises.
And in addition to boosting demand in the real estate market, it is also important to optimise local real estate control policies through “differentiated measures according to local conditions”, which in turn can help stabilise the demand, creating a better market environment for the high-quality and smooth development of the real estate market. — China Daily/ANN
Zeng Gang is deputy director of the National Institution for Finance and Development. The views expressed are the writer’s own.
