Manic markets drive ETF inflows to US$609bil


ETFs are on pace to approach – or even surpass – the record US$911bil addition in the low-rate-anything-goes era of 2021. — Reuters

NEW YORK: Half your coworkers might have just spent August in Europe, but there were no holiday doldrums in the booming world of exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Fuelled by big cross-asset gyrations on Wall Street, investors added US$75bil to US ETFs last month, five times more than the same period in 2023.

It may well prove the tipping point that keeps inflows roaring toward another historic annual cash haul, after July saw US$122bil – the second-biggest monthly intake ever.

The next few months promise plenty more volatility, between the expected kickoff of the US Federal Reserve’s easing cycle, the US presidential election and year-end tax-loss harvesting and portfolio rebalancing.

It’s a stretch that is poised to drive fresh allocations among institutional managers, at a time when retail investors are also riding all manner of ETFs to navigate the stock rally.

After reeling in US$609bil so far in 2024, ETFs as a whole have already exceeded the tally for each of the past two years.

They’re on pace to approach – or even surpass – the record US$911bil addition in the low-rate-anything-goes era of 2021, data from Bloomberg Intelligence (BI) show.

It’s an extraordinary feat, underscoring bullish appetites across investing styles.

And it speaks to the explosive growth in the now nearly US$10 trillion space, where 3,600 funds offer the ability to allocate money toward just about any asset class.

“It was an unusually eventful summer,” said Athanasios Psarofagis, an ETF analyst at BI.

“You had investors piling into bonds, buying the dip on stocks, rotating into small caps – it’s a recipe for strong flows.”

The upshot is that ETFs now account for almost a third of total fund assets, double the ratio from 2015, BI data through July show.

And it’s not all about passive index-tracking investing. The universe of actively managed ETFs has grown by more than 30% this year, to US$783bil, while assets in the passive segment have risen about 15%, to US$8.6 trillion.

Both fixed-income and equity products have seen strong demand, with the former seeing a 2024 intake of US$187bil and the latter US$367bil.

The bond inflows have been a major boost this year given how many new offerings are now available, including actively managed ones, according to Todd Sohn, an ETF strategist at Strategas.

He highlighted two standouts: the BlackRock Flexible Income ETF (ticker BINC), which has taken in US$3.5bil, and the Capital Group Core Bond ETF, which has attracted US$950mil.

All in, bond ETFs have taken in US$100bil over the past three months, more than was seen during the early pandemic- recovery months in 2020, according to Strategas.

But other areas have also been surprise hits, including a batch of new bitcoin-based ETFs, which have seen net inflows of more than US$17bil.

Plus, a deluge of launches of more complex funds, including covered-call and downside-protection ones, have added to the overall flow, said Sohn.

Meanwhile, leveraged and inverse funds based on single companies have reached more than US$9bil in assets.

This year, tech funds are raking in cash, thanks to the surge in the biggest technology stocks, “so any investment allocations to other sectors will help towards the record,” said Sohn at Strategas.

But it also shows “how other corners, like fixed income, crypto – have stepped up to boost the overall industry tally.” — Bloomberg

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