Singapore Oct core inflation at 2.1% y/y, lowest in almost 3 years


People walk towards the Merlion park along Marina Bay in Singapore. — AFP

SINGAPORE: Singapore's key consumer price gauge rose 2.1% in October from a year earlier, lower than economists' forecasts and the smallest rise in almost three years, official data showed on Monday.

The core inflation rate, which excludes private road transport and accommodation costs, compared with a forecast of 2.5% in a Reuters poll of economists and September's rate of 2.8%.

Core inflation in October was the lowest since December 2021 when it was also 2.1%. Authorities pegged the drop to moderation in services, electricity and gas, and retail and other goods inflation.

Headline inflation was 1.4% in annual terms in October, lower than forecast of 1.8% in the poll.

Last week, Singapore upgraded its 2024 economic growth forecast to around 3.5% from a previous range of 2.0% to 3.0% after third-quarter growth came in stronger than expected.

The core inflation figure coming close to the central bank's guidance of 2% by year-end leaves room for monetary policy easing at its next meeting in January, Maybank economist Chua Hak Bin said.

Chua expects the central bank to slow the rate of appreciation of the Singapore dollar nominal effective exchange rate (S$NEER), through which it manages monetary policy.

The MAS left its policy settings unchanged at a review last month as inflation pressures continued to moderate and growth prospects improved.

On Monday, the central bank and trade ministry said core inflation was expected to remain around 2% into year-end and step down further to 1.5% to 2.5% in 2025. - Reuters

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