LOS ANGELES: Last summer, as Will Harling captained a fire engine trying to control a wildfire that had burst out of northern California’s Klamath National Forest, overrun a firebreak and raced towards his hometown, he got a frustrating email.
It was a statistical analysis from Oregon State University forestry researcher Chris Dunn, predicting that the spot where firefighters had built the firebreak, on top of a ridge a few miles out of town, had only a 10% chance of stopping the blaze.
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